Villalpando vs Santa Croya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
18.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+116%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villalpando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RCB
2 - 0
VIL
70%
16%
14%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAC
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GCE
1 - 2
VIL
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
6 - 1
SAN
81%
11%
8%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 2
VIL
39%
21%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
MOR
88%
8%
5%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 3
SAN
50%
20%
30%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
5 - 2
BVD
85%
9%
6%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
COR
2 - 0
SAN
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
MOR
26%
19%
55%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |