Villada vs Palencia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.1%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 0
VIL
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 3
VIL
93%
5%
2%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAL
75%
14%
11%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 3
MON
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 0
JOP
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Palencia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 4
ATA
19%
20%
61%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 4
CDF
13%
16%
71%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VDB
6 - 1
PAL
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 2
GRI
49%
20%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
AST
6 - 0
PAL
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | -1 |