Villada vs Baltanás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 3
VIL
29%
22%
50%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIL
33%
22%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 4
CDF
60%
18%
22%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
VDB
0 - 2
VIL
37%
23%
41%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
GRI
91%
6%
3%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Baltanás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 3
GUA
83%
11%
6%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
CDV
4 - 1
BAL
71%
15%
14%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 1
UDB
80%
12%
8%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ATA
0 - 0
BAL
23%
22%
55%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 3
CER
40%
22%
38%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |