Villada vs CD Cervera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 2
VDB
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 2
VIL
74%
15%
12%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 2
VIL
19%
19%
63%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
6 - 1
UDB
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
GRI
1 - 2
VIL
11%
15%
74%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Cervera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CER
1 - 1
GUA
53%
20%
27%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CER
5 - 0
UDB
68%
16%
16%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CER
2 - 4
GRI
75%
14%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 0
CER
33%
20%
46%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CER
1 - 2
ATA
53%
21%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |