Villada vs Carrion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.7%
13.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
VDB
46%
22%
32%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
UDB
1 - 2
VIL
8%
13%
79%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 2
VIL
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 1
CDV
33%
20%
48%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 2
VIL
31%
24%
45%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carrion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
24%
21%
56%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
AST
3 - 1
CAR
67%
17%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
CDF
14%
18%
69%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 6
CAR
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
VDB
17%
20%
64%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |