CD Villacarrillo vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Villacarrillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 0
VIL
83%
13%
5%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAL
23%
25%
53%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
AME
0 - 1
VIL
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
CDE
53%
21%
26%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALH
3 - 1
VIL
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 1
ATA
51%
25%
24%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
RON
0 - 0
MAN
44%
27%
30%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 0
ANT
57%
24%
19%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UDS
2 - 0
MAN
58%
24%
18%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 3
HUE
34%
27%
39%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |