CD Villa de Simancas vs Arces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+228%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Villa de Simancas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 2
CDV
27%
22%
51%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CDV
1 - 2
UVA
27%
22%
51%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PED
1 - 2
CDV
32%
23%
45%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDV
2 - 0
UNI
47%
23%
30%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CDV
2 - 1
VIC
19%
20%
61%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ARC
0 - 1
UDS
15%
18%
67%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
RAY
1 - 2
ARC
41%
22%
37%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ARC
3 - 2
RIO
21%
21%
58%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 0
ARC
33%
23%
44%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ARC
0 - 4
MED
23%
21%
56%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |