Villa de Fortuna vs Alcantarilla FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
5.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-73%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ALG
0 - 0
VIL
23%
21%
57%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
5 - 0
ATL
90%
8%
3%
|
20 | 5 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
CDB
1 - 1
VIL
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
CDA
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
ARC
1 - 2
VIL
44%
23%
34%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alcantarilla FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ALC
3 - 1
AFC
38%
24%
38%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALG
13%
18%
68%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 2
ALC
34%
26%
39%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 1
CDB
22%
22%
57%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CDA
4 - 0
ALC
75%
17%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |