Villa de Fortuna vs EDMF Churra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
UDL
1 - 0
VIL
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 4
PLU
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
YEC
4 - 2
VIL
17%
21%
62%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CDB
1 - 3
VIL
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 1
LOR
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
EDMF Churra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CHU
1 - 1
CDT
69%
20%
12%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ABA
2 - 0
CHU
33%
24%
43%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CHU
1 - 3
UMO
73%
17%
11%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CHU
2 - 1
JUM
80%
14%
6%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RAA
1 - 3
CHU
25%
25%
51%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |