Villa de Fortuna vs EDMF Churra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
-72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CLU
0 - 1
VIL
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
4 - 0
EEP
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
VIL
21%
20%
59%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
CEU
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
RAA
0 - 1
VIL
17%
21%
63%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
EDMF Churra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CHU
1 - 1
MSM
54%
24%
22%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MUL
1 - 2
CHU
36%
25%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CHU
0 - 0
ABA
34%
25%
42%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CLU
1 - 0
CHU
23%
23%
54%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CAP
2 - 2
CHU
42%
27%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |