Villa de Fortuna vs Abarán CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CHU
1 - 0
VIL
34%
26%
41%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
CLU
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
EEP
2 - 2
VIL
14%
20%
66%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
SAN
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CEU
2 - 2
VIL
6%
14%
80%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Abarán CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ABA
0 - 1
MSM
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MUL
1 - 0
ABA
36%
24%
39%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ABA
2 - 1
CHU
45%
24%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CLU
0 - 1
ABA
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ABA
2 - 0
EEP
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |