Villa de Fortuna vs Unión Molinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MUL
1 - 0
VIL
41%
25%
35%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 0
ABA
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CHU
1 - 0
VIL
34%
26%
41%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
CLU
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
EEP
2 - 2
VIL
14%
20%
66%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
MSM
0 - 2
MUL
42%
24%
35%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ABA
0 - 1
MSM
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MSM
1 - 1
CHU
40%
24%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CLU
0 - 0
MSM
35%
25%
40%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MSM
1 - 1
EEP
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |