Villa de Fortuna vs Independiente Ceutí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
34.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 3
JUM
37%
22%
42%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 4
SAN
14%
20%
66%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 2
VIL
71%
18%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
VIL
27%
21%
53%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 3
EEP
51%
22%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Ceutí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 0
CEU
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
EEP
1 - 1
CEU
34%
23%
43%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CEU
4 - 1
CDB
59%
21%
20%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CMU
1 - 2
CEU
28%
22%
50%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CEU
4 - 0
CEU
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | +1 |