Villa de Fortuna vs CD El Esparragal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
4.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
VIL
21%
20%
59%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
CEU
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
RAA
0 - 1
VIL
17%
21%
63%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 1
VIL
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
ALC
83%
11%
5%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Esparragal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EEP
0 - 3
MSM
22%
23%
56%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MUL
4 - 1
EEP
67%
19%
14%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
EEP
0 - 1
ABA
14%
19%
67%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
EEP
1 - 2
CDB
42%
23%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
CDA
0 - 1
EEP
65%
20%
16%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |