Villa de Fortuna vs CD El Esparragal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
YEC
0 - 0
VIL
27%
22%
50%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
CIE
63%
20%
18%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
AFC
0 - 2
VIL
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BAL
4 - 0
VIL
36%
23%
41%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAL
55%
21%
25%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD El Esparragal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
EEP
1 - 0
ALC
58%
22%
21%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
ALG
1 - 1
EEP
67%
18%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
EEP
2 - 0
ATL
59%
20%
22%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
EEP
1 - 3
MME
35%
22%
43%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
BUL
1 - 0
EEP
78%
15%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |