CD Victoria vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
47.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
10º
10º
29
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 2
OLI
27%
28%
46%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
HNP
1 - 1
VIC
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 0
VID
36%
26%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 1
RSO
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
VIC
61%
22%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RES
1 - 1
ALI
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
VID
2 - 2
RES
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 1
RES
26%
27%
46%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RES
0 - 1
OLI
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HNP
1 - 3
RES
18%
25%
57%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |