CD Victoria vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
10º
8º
15
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RES
0 - 1
VIC
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 1
VID
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 0
VIC
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 2
MOT
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 0
VIC
15%
20%
65%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
MOT
4 - 0
JAG
62%
22%
15%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 1
ALI
30%
29%
42%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
RES
1 - 0
JAG
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
RSO
37%
26%
38%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
VID
2 - 0
JAG
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |