CD Victoria vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
10º
10º
13
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VID
3 - 1
VIC
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
RSO
3 - 0
VIC
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 1
MAR
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 0
JAG
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MOT
3 - 1
VIC
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HNP
2 - 1
MAR
19%
25%
55%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
HNP
1 - 1
ALI
28%
26%
45%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
RES
3 - 0
HNP
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
HNP
2 - 2
RSO
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
JAG
4 - 2
HNP
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |