CD Victoria vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
3º
7º
5º
17
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 34 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
17 | 31 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 29 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 29 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
12 | 24 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 21 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 20 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 20 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 11 |
10º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
5% | 58% |
|
Next round
|
62.5% | 41% |
|
Mid-table
|
32.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
RES
1 - 1
VIC
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VIC
3 - 2
ALI
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RSO
1 - 0
VIC
40%
26%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 1
JAG
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JUT
1 - 0
VIC
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
MOT
3 - 0
JUT
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 3
MOT
19%
26%
56%
|
73 | 40 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 1
MAR
48%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
MOT
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
MOT
48%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |