CD Victoria vs Olancho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
29.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
3º
7º
5º
8
3º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 33 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 31 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 30 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 29 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
|
6º
|
12 | 24 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 21 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
8 | 20 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 19 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 11 |
10º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
62% | 30% |
|
Mid-table
|
33.5% | 70% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RSO
1 - 0
VIC
40%
26%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 1
JAG
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JUT
1 - 0
VIC
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VIC
3 - 1
OLI
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 2
CDG
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Olancho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ALI
4 - 0
CDG
66%
22%
12%
|
73 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
MOT
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RSO
0 - 0
ALI
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 1
RES
39%
29%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
ALI
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |