Vicar Cultural vs Atlético Bellavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
71.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicar Cultural
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 2
PDG
19%
20%
61%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 4
CAR
18%
20%
63%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
VIC
3 - 3
LNO
15%
18%
67%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PAV
5 - 0
VIC
63%
20%
18%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
COM
0 - 0
VIC
80%
12%
7%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Bellavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UDB
1 - 2
PAV
64%
19%
17%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
LNO
3 - 6
UDB
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UDB
2 - 2
COM
46%
22%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CDV
2 - 1
UDB
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UDB
2 - 1
NIJ
48%
21%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |