Varea B vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
50.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varea B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ALB
2 - 0
VAR
61%
18%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 0
VAR
51%
21%
28%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
VAR
2 - 1
CEN
48%
22%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ALD
1 - 3
VAR
47%
21%
33%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 0
CAL
55%
21%
24%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
2 - 0
MAR
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
4 - 0
BAÑ
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 6 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
NAX
1 - 1
VIL
9%
15%
76%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 2
PRA
24%
20%
56%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 1
VIL
12%
17%
72%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -1 |