Varea B vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
44.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varea B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
TED
2 - 0
VAR
51%
22%
27%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 0
PRA
29%
22%
50%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
VAR
2 - 2
TED
14%
17%
70%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
RAP
2 - 1
VAR
60%
20%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
VAR
3 - 3
BAÑ
58%
20%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
BAÑ
63%
18%
19%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 3
VIL
10%
17%
73%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
REB
2 - 2
VIL
45%
22%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 3
HAR
40%
21%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
TED
2 - 2
VIL
57%
22%
21%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |