Varea B vs Real Bethlehem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-94%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varea B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 4
VAR
25%
21%
55%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
PRM
36%
22%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 0
VAR
48%
21%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 2
ALB
54%
20%
27%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 3
VAR
26%
21%
53%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Bethlehem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
RBF
1 - 2
MAR
16%
18%
66%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BAÑ
1 - 3
RBF
40%
21%
38%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RBF
0 - 4
NAX
41%
22%
37%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PRA
7 - 0
RBF
82%
11%
7%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
RBF
0 - 2
CAL
34%
23%
44%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |