Varea B vs Rapid de Murillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
40.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varea B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 2
VAR
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 1
AUT
29%
22%
49%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BAÑ
1 - 5
VAR
17%
19%
64%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 0
VIL
28%
20%
52%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
YAG
4 - 0
VAR
61%
19%
21%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Rapid de Murillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 0
AUT
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BAÑ
0 - 8
RAP
9%
15%
76%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
RAP
2 - 1
VIL
32%
22%
46%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
YAG
6 - 1
RAP
54%
21%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
RAP
0 - 0
PRA
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |