Varea B vs Cenicero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
21.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varea B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
ALD
3 - 2
VAR
67%
17%
16%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 0
REB
40%
22%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ALB
4 - 0
VAR
77%
13%
9%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VAR
5 - 1
MAR
24%
21%
55%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CEN
2 - 1
VAR
52%
22%
27%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cenicero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
CEN
0 - 3
TED
11%
17%
71%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
PRA
5 - 0
CEN
77%
15%
8%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CEN
2 - 2
CDB
40%
22%
38%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
RAP
1 - 0
CEN
44%
24%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CEN
2 - 1
VAR
52%
22%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |