Varea B vs CD San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varea B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
VAR
68%
17%
16%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 2
TED
25%
21%
54%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PRA
3 - 1
VAR
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RAP
3 - 0
VAR
45%
22%
33%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 0
RBF
92%
6%
2%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 1
BAÑ
22%
20%
57%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 1
CDS
57%
20%
23%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CDS
0 - 2
AUT
9%
16%
75%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CDS
2 - 4
CDB
11%
15%
74%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 2
CDS
88%
8%
4%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |