Valeranica vs Norma San Leonardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valeranica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 2
COV
85%
11%
5%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PIQ
3 - 3
VAL
22%
21%
57%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 0
ABE
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
TAR
1 - 0
VAL
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 0
VAL
33%
21%
45%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Norma San Leonardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
PIQ
1 - 2
NOR
64%
19%
17%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 3
EST
30%
22%
49%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ARC
0 - 2
NOR
31%
21%
47%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 5
LAN
9%
15%
76%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 0
CAS
56%
21%
23%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |