Valdehornillo vs Castuera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
65%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+248%
+104%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdehornillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAM
3 - 1
VAL
73%
17%
11%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 3
RMC
35%
22%
43%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
HER
5 - 0
VAL
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 0
GIM
25%
22%
53%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 0
VAL
78%
14%
9%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
5 - 0
ZAL
85%
11%
4%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 2
CAS
18%
21%
61%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 1
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 2
RMC
67%
18%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HER
1 - 3
CAS
56%
21%
23%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |