Univ. Alicante vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
POR
2 - 2
UNI
18%
24%
59%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 0
CAL
48%
23%
30%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 1
RAC
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
DEN
2 - 1
UNI
34%
25%
41%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 2
CAL
45%
24%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PEG
0 - 0
SFF
33%
25%
42%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
GAN
2 - 0
PEG
73%
17%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
NUC
2 - 2
PEG
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
PEG
0 - 2
IND
13%
20%
67%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
PEG
1 - 2
CAL
25%
22%
53%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |