Univ. Alicante vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
UNI
43%
26%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 1
JAV
29%
25%
46%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
TAV
3 - 2
UNI
74%
16%
11%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
PED
0 - 1
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 3
SFF
56%
22%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
DEN
4 - 1
SFF
46%
24%
30%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
GAN
1 - 0
DEN
67%
19%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
DEN
1 - 0
NUC
32%
25%
44%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
DEN
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
DEN
3 - 0
PEG
60%
21%
19%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |