CD Union vs Sporting Estrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 0
CRU
90%
8%
2%
|
18 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SLV
0 - 2
UNI
16%
20%
63%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
6 - 2
FIS
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
DUM
1 - 2
UNI
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 3
PUE
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Estrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
EST
2 - 2
PRA
41%
24%
35%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CRU
0 - 0
EST
16%
22%
63%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
EST
1 - 2
AGO
53%
22%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SLV
0 - 1
EST
35%
24%
41%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
FLA
20%
21%
59%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |