CD Union vs SD Esteirana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BER
1 - 2
UNI
53%
22%
25%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
VCC
48%
22%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PRA
0 - 0
UNI
63%
21%
16%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
AGO
79%
13%
7%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 3
BET
19%
22%
59%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SD Esteirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
EST
3 - 2
CRU
55%
22%
23%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SLV
2 - 0
EST
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
EST
1 - 2
FIS
58%
20%
22%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
DUM
2 - 3
EST
87%
10%
4%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
EST
1 - 3
DUM
11%
18%
71%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |