Unión Arroyo vs CD San Agustin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
11%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+113%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
UVA
0 - 2
UNI
75%
15%
11%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
PED
55%
20%
25%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDV
2 - 0
UNI
47%
23%
30%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 4
UDS
65%
18%
17%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
RAY
2 - 4
UNI
44%
22%
34%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD San Agustin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 2
CDV
27%
22%
51%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UDS
6 - 2
AGU
82%
11%
7%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AGU
4 - 0
RAY
50%
21%
29%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RIO
5 - 2
AGU
63%
18%
19%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AGU
4 - 1
ATO
54%
21%
25%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |