Unión Arroyo vs Universidad de Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PED
1 - 0
UNI
53%
21%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIC
4 - 1
UNI
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
CDV
35%
23%
42%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 3
UNI
81%
12%
8%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
RAY
76%
14%
10%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Universidad de Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
UVA
0 - 1
CDV
32%
23%
45%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 0
UVA
70%
16%
15%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
UVA
2 - 2
RAY
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 1
UVA
38%
22%
40%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
UVA
1 - 2
ATO
54%
21%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |