UD Serranillos vs Navatalgordo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16%
14.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Serranillos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
TIE
2 - 2
SER
10%
14%
76%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SER
2 - 1
CVJ
50%
20%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PEB
3 - 4
SER
39%
20%
42%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SER
10 - 0
ADR
83%
10%
6%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SER
4 - 0
PEB
59%
18%
23%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Navatalgordo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 3
LAS
19%
17%
64%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
CEB
1 - 3
NAV
66%
18%
17%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NAV
3 - 1
ATL
16%
18%
66%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 2
NAV
41%
21%
39%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 6
ATL
18%
19%
64%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |