CD Touring vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
9º
16º
14º
12
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
46% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Touring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CDU
0 - 2
CDT
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CDT
2 - 1
CDP
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AFT
3 - 0
CDT
49%
24%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CDT
3 - 0
LEI
20%
22%
58%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +4 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
CDT
61%
22%
17%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 0
AUR
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 1
CDU
28%
25%
46%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CDP
2 - 0
AUR
38%
25%
37%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 2
AFT
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LEI
3 - 0
AUR
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |