CD Touring vs Beasain KE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
13º
4º
1
7º
17º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
4 | 64 |
1º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 61 |
2º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 60 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
7 | 59 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 57 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 55 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
18º
|
1 | 55 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 54 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
5 | 48 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 44 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 43 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 42 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 37 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 35 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 33 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 31 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 21 |
18º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
14.5% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
39.5% | 35% |
|
Mid-table
|
41% | 61% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Touring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 2
CDT
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CDT
0 - 0
SAN
36%
23%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDU
2 - 3
CDT
58%
22%
21%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDT
2 - 1
LON
38%
26%
36%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CDV
2 - 0
CDT
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Beasain KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BEA
0 - 0
DEU
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CDU
2 - 0
BEA
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
BEA
2 - 2
SJU
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BEA
1 - 2
POR
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
BEA
39%
28%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |