CD Toledo vs Tomelloso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
UBC
0 - 0
CDT
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CDT
0 - 1
PON
39%
28%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
CDT
1 - 1
BUR
35%
31%
34%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
MAJ
1 - 2
CDT
31%
28%
41%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
CDT
1 - 1
CFP
64%
23%
13%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
TOM
1 - 0
TAL
22%
27%
51%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
CUL
2 - 0
TOM
75%
17%
8%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
MIR
4 - 0
TOM
70%
21%
10%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
TOM
0 - 1
ATB
16%
26%
59%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ZAM
2 - 0
TOM
78%
16%
7%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |