CD Toledo vs CF Talavera B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
16º
8º
11
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VRU
2 - 1
CDT
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDT
0 - 3
QRE
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TAR
2 - 0
CDT
24%
25%
51%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
CDT
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CDT
2 - 3
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CF Talavera B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
TDR
1 - 1
UBC
34%
24%
43%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LSO
2 - 0
TDR
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TDR
2 - 2
TOR
26%
22%
52%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 1
TDR
18%
21%
61%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
TDR
5 - 1
YUN
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |