Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
CD Toledo vs Sestao River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
CDT
2 - 1
MOR
80%
14%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CSP
0 - 4
CDT
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CDT
1 - 0
VRU
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MAD
1 - 0
CDT
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
CDT
1 - 0
VIL
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sestao River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
ORD
2 - 2
SES
15%
22%
63%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SES
2 - 2
SFC
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
POR
0 - 0
SES
45%
26%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SNT
2 - 2
SES
13%
22%
65%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
SES
1 - 1
JUV
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |