CD Toledo vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
CDT
19%
28%
53%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
UBC
0 - 0
CDT
35%
30%
36%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
CDT
3 - 0
AMU
53%
27%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 1
CDT
31%
31%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
CDT
0 - 2
LOG
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ZAR
1 - 0
UBC
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
AMU
1 - 0
ZAR
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ZAR
0 - 0
AUR
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
LOG
0 - 2
ZAR
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
ZAR
2 - 0
BIN
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |