Segunda B Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
CD Toledo vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
CDT
1 - 1
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
FUE
0 - 1
CDT
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CDT
3 - 1
GET
66%
21%
14%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
UDS
1 - 0
CDT
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CDT
0 - 1
CDM
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
ALG
1 - 2
MUR
20%
27%
53%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 4
GRA
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
MUR
29%
29%
42%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 1
REC
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
RJA
0 - 0
MUR
28%
29%
43%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |