CD Toledo vs Rayo Vallecano B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CDT
1 - 0
CDT
86%
11%
3%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CDT
0 - 1
RMC
18%
24%
59%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
CDT
49%
26%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CDT
1 - 3
GET
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
COX
0 - 0
CDT
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
RVB
2 - 3
LEG
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SSR
0 - 2
RVB
29%
27%
43%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
RVB
1 - 1
ROD
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RVB
0 - 2
CDT
14%
25%
61%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
RMC
2 - 0
RVB
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |