CD Toledo vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 1
CDT
59%
24%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CDT
2 - 2
PBO
66%
20%
13%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FUE
2 - 1
CDT
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CDT
1 - 0
SDA
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
RUN
1 - 2
CDT
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
LPA
21%
26%
53%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
TUD
1 - 1
PEÑ
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
GET
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
RMC
3 - 0
PEÑ
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
ATB
25%
25%
50%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |