CD Toledo vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
49.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
CEL
3 - 1
CDT
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CDT
2 - 0
ROD
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CDT
1 - 2
LEG
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SSR
2 - 1
CDT
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CDT
2 - 1
RVB
29%
27%
43%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 1
LEG
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SSR
0 - 0
LUG
24%
27%
49%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 2
GET
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 2
RVB
63%
22%
16%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CDT
1 - 1
LUG
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |