Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-1
CD Toledo vs Leganés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
ALA
2 - 1
CDT
53%
25%
22%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
CDT
2 - 0
EJE
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
CDT
0 - 1
ALC
65%
22%
13%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
LPA
2 - 3
CDT
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
CDT
1 - 1
VDB
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
CDS
3 - 2
LEG
46%
27%
27%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
LEG
2 - 0
CIE
70%
20%
10%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
TCF
1 - 1
LEG
47%
25%
29%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
LEG
2 - 1
COL
60%
25%
15%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
NUM
0 - 1
LEG
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |