Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-5
CD Toledo vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
MAN
4 - 0
CDT
73%
18%
9%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
CDT
0 - 4
ALC
54%
25%
21%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
SFN
3 - 1
CDT
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
COL
4 - 0
CDT
70%
19%
11%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
CDT
0 - 0
LEG
62%
23%
16%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
ALC
2 - 0
SFN
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
SFN
1 - 2
COL
65%
21%
14%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
SFN
3 - 1
CDT
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
LEG
3 - 1
SFN
56%
25%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
SFN
2 - 0
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |