Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 6-1
CD Toledo vs CD Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
GUA
1 - 2
CDT
29%
26%
44%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
BAL
3 - 1
CDT
52%
27%
21%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
CDT
4 - 0
SEV
48%
29%
23%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +3 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
GRA
0 - 0
CDT
69%
20%
11%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
CDT
1 - 3
MER
36%
30%
34%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
GUA
1 - 2
CDT
29%
26%
44%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
GUA
2 - 1
QRE
71%
19%
10%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
MAN
1 - 2
GUA
32%
27%
41%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
GUA
1 - 1
CIU
67%
21%
12%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
GIM
3 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -2 |