Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-2
CD Toledo vs CD Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
SAN
3 - 0
CDT
49%
27%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
CDT
3 - 1
AGD
41%
29%
30%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
CDT
0 - 0
TEL
58%
25%
17%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
GUA
1 - 0
CDT
36%
28%
36%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
LPA
0 - 2
CDT
33%
29%
38%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
POR
0 - 0
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
GUA
2 - 0
UBC
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
MAD
1 - 1
GUA
28%
27%
45%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
GUA
1 - 0
CDT
36%
28%
36%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | +4 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
GUA
1 - 1
TAR
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |